On November 23, the 11th regular press conference of the Ministry of Transport was held. Wu Chungeng, spokesperson of the Ministry of Transport, said at the meeting that it is expected that by the end of this year, the number of new energy buses in the country will reach 200,000, ahead of schedule. The goal for 2020. In addition, it is estimated that by 2020, the total number of new energy vehicles in the transportation industry will reach 600,000.
The 2020 goal is expected to double the “2020 target†mentioned by Wu Chungeng, referring to the “Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles in the Transportation Industry†(hereinafter referred to as “Opinionsâ€) issued by the Ministry of Communications in early 2015. The goals set forth in the paper. The overall goal of the Opinions is that “by 2020, the application of new energy vehicles in the transportation industry will take shape, with a total of 300,000 vehicles in urban public transport, taxis and urban logistics and distribution,†It is "the number of buses in the new energy city reached 200,000, and the number of new energy taxis and urban logistics and distribution vehicles reached 100,000."
Wu Chungeng pointed out at the regular press conference that the promotion and application of new energy vehicles in the transportation industry has achieved remarkable results, and played an important role in promoting the technological upgrading of the new energy automobile industry and promoting the implementation of air pollution prevention and control. He predicted that according to the current development speed, by the end of this year, the number of new energy buses in the country will reach 200,000, and the goal of 2020 will be achieved ahead of schedule. If it includes buses, taxis, and distribution vehicles, the total number of new energy vehicles in the transportation industry will exceed 300,000.
From this point of view, not only the new energy bus, the "Opinions" will be fully achieved for the promotion of new energy vehicles.
Wu Chungeng further pointed out that by 2020, the total number of new energy vehicles in the transportation industry is expected to reach 600,000. This means that 300,000 targets in 2020 are expected to double.
Policy is improving towards the trend of new energy public transport
In fact, as early as the beginning of this year, Liu Xiaoming, deputy director of the Ministry of Transport, said that at the end of 2016, the total number of new energy buses in the country has exceeded 160,000, and new energy taxis have reached 18,000, and urban logistics of new energy. The number of delivery vehicles has reached 94,000.
The promotion and application of new energy vehicles can be said to be a very important part of China's scientific and technological innovation and green development. Since the national launch of the 863 electric vehicle major project in 2002, China's electric vehicles have entered a stage of rapid development, especially in The application of new energy buses is more obvious.
Among them, from the beginning of the "Ten Cities and Thousands of Vehicles Project" to the "New Energy Public Transport Promotion and Application Assessment Measures" to the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles"... The country has been on the new energy since the strategic level The automobile has great support, and in order to further accelerate the promotion and application of new energy vehicles, promote energy-saving emission reduction and structural adjustment of the bus industry, it also actively accelerates the construction of supporting replacement facilities, adjusts the subsidies for urban bus vehicles, and introduces various reductions and exemptions. Supporting policies such as taxes and fees.
It is worth noting that before 2009, only a few 2 or 3 departments in the Ministry of Science and Technology and the Ministry of Finance were promoting the development of new energy vehicles. By 2017, this number has increased to 18. More and more relevant departments have begun to attach importance to and participate in the development of new energy vehicles.
It can be said that the development of new energy vehicles is the trend of the times, from passenger cars to commercial vehicles in the past two years have ushered in a "blowout" type of growth. Whether in terms of national policies, market environment or supporting facilities, the development of new energy vehicles is the "main theme" of the automobile industry, and "200,000 new energy buses" is the fruit of victory.
Subsidized retreat new energy vehicles slow down
With the strong support of the policy, China's new energy vehicles have developed rapidly, but with the decline of subsidy policies this year, will new energy vehicles grow like this?
In the first half of this year, the sales of new energy vehicles in China are not very optimistic, which has a direct relationship with the reduction of subsidies. Especially in the field of new energy buses, the subsidies have dropped by an average of 50. %.
Experts said that the decline in subsidies will undoubtedly increase the burden on car companies, as well as the cost of car purchases for passenger car users, plus the 30,000-kilometer index requirement, or exert some pressure on the promotion of new energy buses. They believe that the new energy bus market will continue to maintain a strong trend in the future, but given the large decline in subsidies, the growth rate may slow down compared to 2016.
At the same time, there is also a person who believes that after three or four years of rapid growth, the market needs to have a process of digestion and absorption, and a precipitation period is required. In the view of these people, with the decline of the subsidy policy, the market will also weaken the heat of new energy buses, the bus industry will tend to be rational, and the phenomenon of substantial growth will be difficult to reappear.
This has been reflected in the data in 2017. According to the data, in the first half of 2017, the overall sales volume of China's bus industry (single-finger 6 meters or more) was 59,467 units, a decrease of 28.5% compared with the same period of last year, which became the most successful performance in the same period of recent years. Poor first half. Among them, the total sales volume of new energy buses was 17,952, a decrease of 47% compared with the first half of last year.
New energy logistics vehicles and special vehicles ushered in a period of growth
While the growth rate of new energy buses has slowed down, the new energy logistics vehicles and special-purpose vehicles have ushered in a period of growth.
Up to now, the new energy vehicle policies introduced in 37 provinces and cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong and Tianjin all mentioned the relevant policies of pure electric logistics vehicles. With the continuous announcement of local subsidy policies, the policies of new energy logistics vehicles will be more clear in various provinces and cities, and the prospects for new energy logistics vehicles will be good.
The reporter has roughly calculated that only a few new energy logistics vehicles were scheduled in August this year. Among them, Tang Jun Automobile signed a large order with Zhongjun Kaixuan Car Rental Co., Ltd. and Shaanxi Julong Automobile Sales Co., Ltd., signed a total of 1,300 Tang Jun T1 models, the order amount is as high as 200 million yuan; Nanjing Jinlong and Chuanghong New Energy and Xi'an respectively Chuangli and Xi'an Yi can sign a large batch. Among them, Nanjing Jinlong and Chuanghong New Energy signed 5,000 D10 large orders; Xi'an Chuangli and Xi'an Yineng purchased a total of 500 D10; successful cars and Shenzhen Cheetah Electric Vehicle Operation Management Co., Ltd. and Tieqi Express (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. Signed 5,000 successful V2E pure electric logistics vehicles, totaling 1.2 billion yuan and so on.
Some experts have analyzed that with the transformation and upgrading of the e-commerce industry, green distribution has risen to the theme, and new energy logistics vehicles have gradually become a regular army in urban distribution. It can be foreseen that in the increasingly severe environmental situation, economic transformation and development, the government With policy blessing and expanding market demand, new energy logistics vehicles will surely become the growth pole of new energy vehicles. Moreover, under the strong demand of urban sanitation trucks, garbage trucks, and sprinklers, new energy special vehicles will also usher in a spring of rapid development.
According to the forecast of 600,000 vehicles in the transportation industry in 2020, under the trend of slowing growth of new energy buses, new energy markets in the areas of taxis and urban logistics and distribution will be promising in the next three years.
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